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Mintimer Shaimiev, the 68-year-old president of Tatarstan,
said he made his decision to stay in power for another term at the request of
Russian President Vladimir Putin.
Shaimiev announced his decision on 11 March in the Tatar capital,
Kazan, two days after meeting with Putin in Moscow.
"I had said many times that I did not want to take part
in the next election [for Tatarstan's president in 2006]. Now the rules [of
election of local governors and presidents] have changed, and although [Putin]
told me he knew that I didn't want to work anymore and that I wanted to retire,
he asked me to stay for one more term and gave his reasons for that [request].
After thinking it over, I gave him my [affirmative] answer," Shaimiev said.
Shaimiev's third five-year term was due to end in March 2006.
Yesterday, Putin formally nominated Shaimiev and submitted
his candidacy to Tatarstan's legislature for approval. Shaimiev's candidacy
is to be considered by the republican State Council within 14 days. Under federal
laws, if the Tatar parliament fails to approve Shaimiev for president, Putin
has the authority to dismiss the State Council.
With the move, Shaimiev thus becomes one of the first regional
leaders to support Putin's decision to abolish elections and instead appoint
the heads of the 89 administrative regions.
The Russian president made the decision last autumn following
the massacre in the North Ossetian city of Beslan. Under the new Russian law,
regional legislatures will elect the heads of regions after Russia's president
nominates a candidate for the post.
Russian liberals and many foreign governments have criticized
the change, saying it is undemocratic and could lead to a consolidation of presidential
power.
Shaimiev has been one of Russia's most powerful regional leaders.
His approval rating in Tatarstan, around 70 percent, is one of the highest in
Russia.
Shaimiev's move is seen as a success for Putin. Aleksei Titkov
is an expert on Russian policy and federalism at the Carnegie Moscow Center.
He told RFE/RL that Putin was keen to get Shaimiev's support.
"I believe from Putin's side, there was a very strong
desire to have such a strong regional leader as Shaimiev set an example for
other regional heads on how to transfer to the new system of relationship with
the federal authority," Titkov said. "Because so far, the first 10
governors who got or, in a few cases, didn't get reappointed as governors were
either weak politicians with unstable positions in their regions who simply
wanted to secure themselves [by getting the president's support] or those whose
term was about to expire."
What made Shaimiev support Putin's legislative change? Shaimiev
himself says his step was related to maintaining stability in the republic.
He said he should now be able to ensure the continuity of economic and social
reforms.
Many in Tatarstan do see Shaimiev as a guarantor of stability.
Rafiq Mukhametshin, a doctor of political science at Kazan's Institute of History,
said: "I'd say that Mintimer Shaimiev is on the list of the 10 most prominent
politicians of Russia. And until now he has had a consistent policy of stability.
Today, as Russia goes through a complicated political period, removing him [from
power in Tatarstan] would be unnatural."
Moscow-based Titkov told RFE/RL that Shaimiev is an experienced
politician known for his ability to calculate a few steps ahead. He said Shaimiev
benefits from the deal as much as Putin does.
"I think [Shaimiev] carefully considered all the possible
consequences of his decision and is confident there are no risks for him, that
his position won't worsen. Shaimiev is aware of his personal importance and
of the importance of Tatarstan as a big republic with a large electorate, property
and finances for Putin in the future [until the next presidential elections
in 2008]," Titkov said.
Shaimiev occupied ministerial and other high positions in Tatarstan
starting in 1969 and has been Tatarstan's president since 1991. He became a
well-known politician espousing nationalist ideas in the late 1980s. Under his
rule and at his initiative, Tatarstan's status was significantly upgraded in
the former Soviet Union -- from the Tatar Autonomous Republic to the Republic
of Tatarstan.
He is also known outside Russia, particularly in Central Asia,
for his efforts to secure more rights for the Muslim-dominated republic.
Many believe Shaimiev's latest decision is in line with his
policy of bargaining with the Kremlin and gaining more favorable terms for Tatarstan.
Rafiq Mukhametshin told RFE/RL's Tatar-Bashkir Service that he believes Shaimiev
agreed to stay in power and maintain stability in exchange for a new treaty
with Moscow.
"[Announcing Putin's request for him to remain in power,
Shaimiev] underlined the importance of a bilateral treaty to maintain federal
relations in Russia. The permanent political struggle between Tatarstan and
Russia is still going on, of course, within a legal, constitutional framework,
and if a new agreement keeping some of Tatarstan's interests is reached, it
might determine the strategy [of keeping federative relations between Kazan
and Moscow] both for Shaimiev and Tatarstan itself for the future," Mukhametshin
said.
Experts say Shaimiev's approval by the local legislature will
go smoothly and that Shaimiev is likely to have close relations with Moscow
for the next few years.
Source: RFE/RL |